2008–2026

Recent Negotiations and Developments

This period covers the most intensive phase of UN-facilitated negotiations, from the Christofias-Talat talks through the near-breakthrough at Crans-Montana in 2017, followed by the emergence of the two-state proposal and ongoing diplomatic efforts. It is marked by the interplay between high-level diplomacy, landmark ECHR rulings, energy disputes in the Eastern Mediterranean, and shifting political dynamics within both communities.

Ledra Street crossing reopens in Nicosia after 34 years of closure, creating new opportunities for intercommunal contact in the heart of the old city.

Turning Point

Christofias-Talat Comprehensive Talks Begin

Comprehensive talks begin between Presidents Demetris Christofias (AKEL) and Mehmet Ali Talat (CTP), both from left-wing parties with histories of bicommunal cooperation. Negotiations make significant progress on governance and EU matters but collapse over property and territorial issues by 2014.

European Court of Justice Grand Chamber rules in Apostolides v. Orams (Case C-420/07) that judgments of Republic of Cyprus courts regarding property in the north are enforceable across the EU under the Brussels Regulation, even in areas where the government does not exercise effective control.

European Court of Human Rights Grand Chamber delivers judgment in Varnava and Others v. Turkey (Apps. Nos. 16064/90 et al.), establishing Turkey's continuing obligation to investigate the fate of missing persons and finding that disappearances create a continuing obligation on states to investigate effectively.

European Court of Human Rights Grand Chamber declares applications in Demopoulos and Others v. Turkey (Apps. Nos. 46113/99 et al.) inadmissible, ruling that the Immovable Property Commission (IPC) constitutes an adequate domestic remedy that Greek Cypriot applicants must exhaust before bringing property claims to the ECHR.

Natural gas discovered in the Aphrodite field off Cyprus's southern coast, creating new tensions over maritime boundaries and exploration rights, but also prompting proposals for revenue-sharing between the communities as a potential basis for settlement.

European Court of Human Rights orders Turkey to pay Cyprus EUR 90 million in just satisfaction in Cyprus v. Turkey (EUR 30 million for missing persons' relatives, EUR 60 million for enclaved persons in the Karpas Peninsula). This is the first monetary award in an inter-state ECHR case. Turkey has not complied with the judgment.

Intensive negotiations begin between Presidents Nicos Anastasiades and Mustafa Akinci, achieving unprecedented convergences on federal structure, power-sharing, and EU integration through 2017.

Turning Point

Crans-Montana Talks Collapse

Crans-Montana Conference collapses after Turkey refuses to commit to withdrawal of troops or cessation of intervention rights. Turkey insists on permanent military presence; Greek Cypriots demand 'zero guarantees, zero army.' The UN framework and most international actors support phased demilitarization. UN Secretary-General Guterres concludes no agreement is possible despite the talks being the closest ever to a settlement.

Turkish warships intercept the Italian drill ship Saipem 12000 in Cyprus's Exclusive Economic Zone Block 3, forcing the vessel to retreat, escalating energy-related tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Turning Point

Varosha (Famagusta) Partially Reopened

Parts of Varosha (Famagusta) are partially reopened by Turkish Cypriot authorities, in contradiction of UN Security Council Resolutions 550 and 789. The reopening is condemned by the UN Security Council, the EU, and the US as a unilateral action that undermines the negotiating process.

Ersin Tatar wins the TRNC presidential election runoff, defeating incumbent Mustafa Akinci with 51.7% of the vote to Akinci's 48.3%. Tatar, representing the nationalist UBP, campaigns on a two-state platform with active public backing from Turkish President Erdogan. Akinci, who had led reunification negotiations with Greek Cypriot President Anastasiades between 2015 and 2017, had supported a federal settlement. The result provokes debate within the Turkish Cypriot community about Turkish political interference.

Turning Point

Turkey Proposes Two-State Solution for Cyprus

Turkey and the Turkish Cypriot leadership formally propose a 'two-state solution,' departing from the bizonal, bicommunal federation framework that guided negotiations since 1977, arguing that decades of failed talks demonstrated the federation model's unviability. The Republic of Cyprus and Greece reject the proposal.

Informal Geneva meeting fails to find common ground, with the Turkish side insisting on sovereign equality and the Greek Cypriot side maintaining a federation-only position.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres appoints Maria Angela Holguin Cuellar of Colombia as his Personal Envoy on Cyprus.

UN Secretary-General Guterres states that there is no common ground between Greek Cypriots and Turkish Cypriots for negotiations. The following day, Greek Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot leaders meet in New York for informal discussions, facilitated by Guterres, agreeing to continue talks and consider opening additional crossing points.

Record-high Green Line crossings of 7.18 million people and EUR 39.4 million in EU investment (highest since 2006) demonstrate continued practical cooperation despite political deadlock.

First informal five-party talks since 2017 held in Geneva with Greek and Turkish Cypriot leaders and the three guarantor powers (Greece, Turkey, UK). The parties agree to open four new crossing points, create youth and climate technical committees, initiate cemetery restoration, and begin demining cooperation. UN Secretary-General Guterres notes a 'new atmosphere' and 'meaningful progress.'

UN Secretary-General reappoints Maria Angela Holguin Cuellar as his Personal Envoy on Cyprus for a second term.

European Commission designates Johannes Hahn as Special Envoy for Cyprus. Turkish Cypriot leader Ersin Tatar rejects the appointment, describing it as 'a unilateral attempt' made without Turkish Cypriot consent. Turkish Cypriot opposition leader Tufan Erhurman, who is set to challenge Tatar in October elections, subsequently meets with Hahn.

UN-led talks held in New York between Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides and Turkish Cypriot leader Ersin Tatar. Guterres reports 'constructive' discussions and that four of six initiatives agreed in March have been achieved: creation of a technical committee on youth, environmental initiatives, cemetery restoration, and a demining agreement. However, no agreement is reached on opening the four new crossing points.

Presidential elections scheduled in northern Cyprus, with incumbent Ersin Tatar running for re-election on a two-state solution platform. A five-party meeting is planned for after the elections.